Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 5, 5:02 PM.
372 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
~9.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (372 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 34% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 95% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 64% above the best standing bid of $0.14; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 34.3% weekly slide is the headline, and it has left the ask 20.6% below the fair-value model, which in this single-regime market has historically read as a recovery setup rather than a broken item. The complication is the order book: the $0.23 ask floats 64% above the best standing bid of $0.14, a 48.6% spread, so the quoted price is not where liquidation actually happens. Depth is thin (liquidity 29/100, 20 live listings, 41 owners holding 372 units) and the risk score of 19/100 matches 95th percentile readings on both beta and dump days. A value score of 76/100 against a 5th percentile 90d return frames this as a cheap but fragile fresh drop, where patience near the bid side may matter more than the headline discount.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 2h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Return (14d) | -50.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -4.2% | 64 | 65 |
| Return (60d) | +35.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -94.8% | 7 | 5 |
| Return (all) | -94.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -69.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -295.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -295.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $4.43 | — | — |
| High (all) | $4.43 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +158.3% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +181.8% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +2584.8% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +2584.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 18 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 2 | 26 | 22 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -50.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -50.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -50.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -94.8% | 11 | 8 |
| Distance from high (all) | -94.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +27.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +39.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +39.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +39.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -23.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -24.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -17.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -54.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -54.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 16 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 34 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -8.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.3% | 42 | 40 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.21× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +29.9% | 90 | 91 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +25.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +15.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +61.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +64.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +96.3% | 89 | 92 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +96.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +94.8% | 89 | 92 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +94.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 82d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 82d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.41× | 89 | 88 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.03 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.78 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.48 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 10.82 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +122.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +170.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +170.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +34.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +37.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +37.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +56.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +5.4% | 91 | 92 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 42 | 91 | 93 |
| Listings on book | 20 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +48.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +27.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +6.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +27.4% | 88 | 90 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +79.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +37100.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +7.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +10.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +24.2% | 91 | 90 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +115.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 3.67 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.76 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 86d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 9.07× | 27 | 27 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.6% | 29 | 26 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.1% | 16 | 12 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.26 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 1 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -3.2% | 23 | 21 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +36.1% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -20.6% | 39 | 41 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +39.1% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.14 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 62 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Momentum pillar | 44 | 37 | 39 |
| Scarcity pillar | 56 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 76 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 46 | 54 | 54 |
| Data completeness | +76.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.84× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 2.61× | 95 | 95 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.25× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -37.9% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +4.1% | 63 | 64 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -71.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 6 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -7.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -5.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -5.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -8 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.