Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 12, 7:02 PM.
Price up 18.4% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~9.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Up 22pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 72% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 24h move of +18.4% has pushed Barbarian Helmet to $9.61, roughly 72.1% above the model's fair value and sitting at the 95th percentile of its own 90-day range. In a single-regime market where sharp spikes have tended to fade, that reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, and the order book supports the caution: a 26.9% bid/ask spread, a best standing bid of $7.33 against that $9.61 ask, and only nine active listings, with liquidity scoring 16 out of 100. The structural case is real (supply fixed at 957 units after delisting, 101 unique owners, and a 7d return 21.7 points above the market median), but the overall grade is a C at 44, and buyers paying the spread here are funding most of the premium themselves.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 4h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +18.4% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +19.8% | 84 | 81 |
| Return (14d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -8.8% | 53 | 55 |
| Return (60d) | +29.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | +29.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +16.8% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +18.1% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +16.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -9.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +26.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +26.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $9.61 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $9.67 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $9.67 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $10.54 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $10.92 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $10.92 | — | — |
| High (all) | $10.92 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $8.90 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $8.02 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $8.02 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $8.02 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $7.27 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $7.27 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $7.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $9.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $8.84 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $8.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $8.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $9.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $9.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $9.08 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $9.25 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $8.90 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $8.14 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $8.18 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $8.86 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $8.86 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $8.86 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +31.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +50.2% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +50.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +50.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 96 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 63 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 64 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 64 | 95 | 95 |
| Position in range (all) | 64 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -8.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -12.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -12.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Distance from high (all) | -12.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +32.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +32.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +32.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +14.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 19 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.0% | 39 | 41 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.43× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.11× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +5.8% | 19 | 22 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +23.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +26.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +26.6% | 5 | 5 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +26.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +12.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 37d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 37d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.06× | 41 | 42 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.47 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.75 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 7.51 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 9.6 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +50.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +50.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 22 | 24 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 22 | 24 |
| Listings on book | 9 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +26.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +2.0% | 57 | 63 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 9.48× | 33 | 33 |
| Top-1 holder share | +18.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Top-10 holder share | +29.2% | 94 | 92 |
| HHI (top-10) | 350.05 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +2.0% | 82 | 90 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 48d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 40d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -40d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 1.75× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +72.0% | 73 | 72 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.15× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +23.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $7.17 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 52 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +21.7% | 84 | 81 |
| Momentum pillar | 41 | 20 | 21 |
| Scarcity pillar | 62 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 23 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 49 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 36 | 37 |
| Data completeness | +74.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.70× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.67× | 73 | 72 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.05× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.45× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.41× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -11.8% | 54 | 57 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -7.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -7.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.