Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 12:02 AM.
Up 12.9% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
2,075 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 83% discount to the store price.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 60% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $2.50 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most notable tension here is positional: Bandana Hair trades 60.4% below the model's fair value, yet sits at the 95th percentile of its 90-day range with current drawdown in the 5th percentile, meaning the discount coexists with a price near its own recent highs. The +12.9% six-hour and +15.3% seven-day moves (7.8% ahead of the market median) read as fade-risk rather than continuation in this single-regime market. Execution is the bigger constraint: a 75.4% spread between the $0.42 ask and the $0.19 best bid, 43 live listings against 2,075 units, and a liquidity score of 13 out of 100. With median sales at $0.24, the posted ask looks optimistic relative to where trades actually clear.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +5.0% | 81 | 82 |
| Return (14d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +40.0% | 93 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -2.3% | 82 | 88 |
| Return (all) | -89.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +33.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +33.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -228.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (all) | $5.48 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.13 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +104.8% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +119.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +138.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +2509.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 95 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 84 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 72 | 94 | 95 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -8.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -16.0% | 94 | 95 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +16.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +8.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -62.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 66 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.7% | 90 | 90 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.73× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.25× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.66× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +25.6% | 86 | 85 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +21.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +18.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +15.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +51.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +54.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +58.0% | 33 | 32 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +96.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +16.0% | 6 | 5 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 75d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 181d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.21× | 80 | 82 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.19 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.9 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 6.86 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 12.67 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +104.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +104.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +104.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +51.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +51.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +51.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.0% | 61 | 62 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 18 | 61 | 62 |
| Listings on book | 42 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +75.4% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.1% | 50 | 51 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | -0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | -0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -0.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +1.3% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.07 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 21564d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 8.79× | 28 | 28 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +3.6% | 55 | 49 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +15.3% | 60 | 49 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 34.2 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.9% | 23 | 22 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +0.1% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +0.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 199d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.17× | 15 | 18 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.17× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -60.0% | 18 | 21 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.03× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +54.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.19 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 48 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +8.6% | 81 | 82 |
| Momentum pillar | 46 | 29 | 27 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 13 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 59 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 42 | 28 | 25 |
| Data completeness | +76.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -1.80× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.26× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.00× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +8.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +55.6% | 93 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.