Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 10, 12:02 PM.
Price down 6.5% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
18,975 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 9/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~16.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 56% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 82% above the best standing bid of $0.28; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The sharpest tension here is a price 53.7% below the model's fair value sitting on top of a 48.6% bid/ask spread, with the $0.46 ask floating 82% above the best standing bid of $0.28. That phantom gap matters more than the headline discount, because liquidity scores 7/100 against 18,975 units outstanding, 204 live listings and only 1,181 unique owners. The +15.2% week reads as fade-risk rather than continuation given a 95th-percentile spike-day count. Supply is genuinely fixed (store-delisted, 5th percentile supply growth), and the $0.51 median sale against a $3.50 original store price explains the 7th-percentile release multiple. Overall grade D, 38/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 21h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -8.5% | 43 | 45 |
| Return (14d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -18.9% | 51 | 53 |
| Return (60d) | -21.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -20.4% | 75 | 79 |
| Return (all) | -93.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -6.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -6.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -8.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -20.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -24.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -22.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -272.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.43 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.54 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.45 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.34 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.66 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +9.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +56.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +93.3% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +93.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +110.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +2079.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 76 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 46 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 46 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 39 | 81 | 83 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -8.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -8.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -25.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -25.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -31.7% | 85 | 89 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -6.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -6.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -13.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -68.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 52 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 91 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -6.2% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -6.2% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.7% | 49 | 49 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.64× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +11.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +12.4% | 50 | 50 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +48.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +48.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +52.4% | 22 | 19 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +95.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +31.7% | 15 | 11 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 71d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 185d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.02× | 50 | 52 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.11 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.25 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.78 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 2.89 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +34.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +34.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +34.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +34.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +6.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.1% | 29 | 29 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 10 | 29 | 29 |
| Listings on book | 205 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +42.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.3% | 13 | 13 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 16.07× | 92 | 89 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.8% | 29 | 25 |
| Top-10 holder share | +8.4% | 33 | 26 |
| HHI (top-10) | 8.33 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.3% | 29 | 27 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 194d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.12× | 6 | 8 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.12× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -55.7% | 22 | 23 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +34.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.28 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 49 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -3.8% | 43 | 45 |
| Momentum pillar | 50 | 29 | 28 |
| Scarcity pillar | 9 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 7 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 71 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 37 | 11 | 10 |
| Data completeness | +81.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.00× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.08× | 39 | 38 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.00× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +33.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -0.4% | 51 | 52 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.