Aviator Helmetfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

47/ 100

Momentum41

Scarcity20

Liquidity39

Value78

Risk56

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Sharp decline !!!

Price down 11.3% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

Elevated supply

6,190 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Low scarcity score

Scarcity score 20/100: abundant and liquid.

Holders are holding !!

Only 2.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~8.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Aviator Helmet is sitting near the extremes of its own history: a -11.3% drop in the last 24 hours has pushed price to $1.88 while the model reads fair value 29.6% higher, and the 7d change is actually +6.5%, outperforming the broader market's median by 23.8%. In this single-regime market, sharp drops like this have tended to recover, so the pullback looks more like a shakeout than a trend reversal. Supply is fixed after delisting (6190 units, 711 owners), and the bid floor is holding firm at $1.75 against a 129-unit ask stack. Liquidity is thin, with only 1 unit traded in the last 24h, so any read here rests on a small sample.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	-11.3%	—	—
Return (3d)	-13.8%	—	—
Return (7d)	-12.1%	41	46
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$2.13	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-11.9%	—	—
SMA (14)	$2.07	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-9.1%	—	—
SMA (21)	$2.16	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-13.1%	—	—
SMA (30)	$2.25	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-16.4%	66	62
SMA (50)	$2.62	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-28.3%	—	—
SMA (90)	$4.77	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-60.6%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$2.13	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-11.9%	—	—
EMA (14)	$2.07	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-9.1%	—	—
EMA (30)	$2.25	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-16.4%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-0.9%	80	75
Trend slope (60d)	-1.3%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.2%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.2%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.00×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.46×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.80×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.77×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.79×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-5.1%	90	84
Days since trend flip	0.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+5.3%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+8.8%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+9.0%	29	41
Return stdev (60d)	+8.5%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+10.4%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+10.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+5.8%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+5.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+7.3%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+37.0%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+62.2%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+88.1%	55	62
Max drawdown (all)	+88.1%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+87.0%	59	65
Current drawdown (all)	+87.0%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	89d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.15×	64	57
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.24×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	0.85	—	—
Return skew (90d)	0.12	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	3.1	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	2.81	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+3.7%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+24.4%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+24.4%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+25.9%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+25.9%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+11.3%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+12.9%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+22.4%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+22.4%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+35.1%	—	—

Liquidity

13/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+2.1%	55	58
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	46.93	—	—
Liquidity score	27	64	65
Listings on book	129	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+11.2%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+8.4%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-16.2%	16	20
Listings trend (60d)	-31.4%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+7.2%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	0.94×	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	-43.3%	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+10.8%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	50
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	-0.1%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	-0.7%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	-1.5%	5	5
Owner growth (60d)	+13.9%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+85.6%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	8.71×	27	26
Top-1 holder share	+6.4%	76	76
Top-10 holder share	+16.4%	68	62
HHI (top-10)	56.28	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	-1.5%	16	15
Absorption (60d)	+13.9%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+85.6%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	132d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.47×	31	31
Store-price ratio	0.47×	—	—
Fair-value residual	-29.6%	40	45
Price per scarcity point	0.09×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+6.9%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$1.75	—	—
Accumulation score	34	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+23.8%	81	83
Momentum pillar	41	33	37
Scarcity pillar	20	—	—
Liquidity pillar	39	—	—
Value pillar	78	—	—
Risk pillar	56	—	—
Overall rating	52	75	75
Data completeness	+91.4%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	2	75	50
Spike days (60d)	4	—	—
Spike days (90d)	6	—	—
Dump days (30d)	1	25	25
Dump days (60d)	1	—	—
Dump days (90d)	4	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	+0.9%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-3.8%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-3.6%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	1	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	2	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	3	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	2	—	—