Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 3:02 PM.
Price up 8.1% in 24h: a mild upward trend.
Up 13.9% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
6,190 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 20/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Down 50% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 42% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 117% above the best standing bid of $0.82; you could not actually sell there right now.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 73/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most actionable number here is the gap between the $1.07 ask and the $0.82 best bid, a 26.5% spread that leaves the listed price 117% above where real demand sits, so the 13.9% six-hour pop and 8.1% 24h gain may be thinner than they look against a 7d print of -8.8%. Structurally the item is more interesting: delisted with supply fixed at 6190 units, 30d supply growth in the 5th percentile, and a price 42.5% below modelled fair value versus a $4.00 original store price. Offsetting that, 145 live listings, a liquidity score of 25 and 714 owners holding 6190 units mean exits are concentrated and slow.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 6m ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -22.5% | 46 | 48 |
| Return (60d) | -47.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -43.1% | 44 | 49 |
| Return (all) | -90.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -11.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -25.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -63.5% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -56.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -234.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.07 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.07 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.09 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.20 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.39 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $2.03 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $2.13 | — | — |
| High (all) | $14.42 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.07 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.07 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.04 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $3.48 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.07 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.07 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.07 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.10 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.22 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.55 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.13 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +21.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +40.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +105.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +115.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1356.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 38 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 20 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 7 | 38 | 38 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -47.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -49.8% | 60 | 62 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +2.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -10.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -25.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -34.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -69.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 45 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 91 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.4% | 40 | 36 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.72× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.95× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.86× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.82× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.64× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 27d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +5.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +3.1% | 5 | 5 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +8.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +28.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +51.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +53.5% | 24 | 21 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +49.8% | 40 | 38 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 82d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 179d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.50× | 5 | 5 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.12× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.69 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.37 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.1 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 9.82 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +23.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +23.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +19.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +19.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.3% | 70 | 71 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 21 | 70 | 71 |
| Listings on book | 145 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +26.5% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +115.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.7% | 32 | 39 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.67× | 27 | 26 |
| Top-1 holder share | +6.4% | 78 | 76 |
| Top-10 holder share | +16.3% | 64 | 54 |
| HHI (top-10) | 56.2 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.7% | 53 | 55 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 222d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.27× | 29 | 30 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.27× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -42.5% | 28 | 31 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +23.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.82 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 73 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +3.6% | 75 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 52 | 50 | 49 |
| Scarcity pillar | 20 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 25 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 80 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 43 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 50 | 68 | 67 |
| Data completeness | +80.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.14× | 40 | 39 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.04× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.25× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.04× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -10.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.5% | 46 | 48 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -31.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -18.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -18.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.