Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 83%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 15, 10:02 AM.
Only 0.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~10.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 43% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most notable number here is the gap between the two sides of the book: a $3.93 lowest ask against a $2.31 best standing bid, a 51.9% spread, with liquidity scored at just 5 out of 100 and 11 sell listings in the current observation. That thinness matters more than the direction, since the 7d move is only -3.9% (1.7% behind the market median) and 24h is -0.5%. Supply is fixed at 1419 units after delisting, spread across 545 lifetime buyers, which the pack flags as concentrated ownership. The model reads the price 43.3% below fair value, but with risk at 39/100, high volatility and market-wide fear, that discount may take patience rather than reward speed.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 18h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -5.1% | 41 | 38 |
| Return (14d) | -8.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -4.9% | 48 | 56 |
| Return (60d) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -38.2% | 9 | 9 |
| Return (all) | -7.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -9.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +12.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -48.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -7.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $3.93 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $3.95 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $4.09 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $4.26 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $5.32 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $5.32 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $6.28 | — | — |
| High (all) | $8.58 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $3.93 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $3.93 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $3.93 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $3.93 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $3.53 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $2.24 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $2.24 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $2.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $3.93 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $3.94 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $4.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $4.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $4.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.97 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $4.31 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $4.42 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $3.93 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $3.93 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $3.99 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $4.09 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $4.21 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $4.15 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $4.22 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $4.26 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +8.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +50.7% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +137.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +180.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +283.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 22 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 55 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 42 | 44 | 50 |
| Position in range (all) | 27 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -5.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -8.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -27.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -27.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -38.2% | 47 | 50 |
| Distance from high (all) | -54.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +73.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +73.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +73.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -9.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -9.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -12.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 44 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 75 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $4.00 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -3.0% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $4.08 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -5.0% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $4.14 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -6.4% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $4.30 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | -9.7% | 41 | 49 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $4.00 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -3.0% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $4.08 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -5.0% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $4.30 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | -9.7% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.6% | 46 | 50 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.96× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.01× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | -6.9% | 45 | 48 |
| Days since trend flip | 20d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +8.5% | 36 | 37 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +11.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +16.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +26.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +49.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +64.3% | 63 | 60 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +73.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +37.4% | 52 | 49 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +54.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 89d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 96d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.08× | 53 | 59 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.64 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.64 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 24.14 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 11.58 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +50.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +66.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +66.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +2.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +12.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +32.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +32.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.8% | 34 | 35 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 8 | 37 | 38 |
| Listings on book | 12 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +51.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +3.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 10.14× | 39 | 40 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.6% | 55 | 50 |
| Top-10 holder share | +20.2% | 77 | 74 |
| HHI (top-10) | 46.75 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 139d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.95× | 75 | 75 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.94× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -42.9% | 27 | 30 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.07× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +40.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $2.30 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 45 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.4% | 45 | 43 |
| Momentum pillar | 57 | 69 | 68 |
| Scarcity pillar | 57 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 5 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 66 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 39 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 53 | 81 | 81 |
| Data completeness | +82.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.11× | 81 | 81 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.84× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -26.9% | 48 | 54 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -170.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 50 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.