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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Alien glassesfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
41/ 100
C
Momentum39
Scarcity53
Liquidity8
Value57
Risk39

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 30, 11:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
6-hour dip !!

Down 12.7% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~10.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 51% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Outperforming the market !!

Up 60pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The headline here is the order book, not the return: the $4.21 ask sits 41% above the best standing bid of $2.41, a 54.4% spread, with liquidity scored at 8/100 and 17 live sell listings. That phantom structure means the quoted price is largely aspirational, and the 12.7% drop over the last six hours suggests some of it is already unwinding. The supporting case is real but slower moving: supply is fixed at 1419 units following delisting, 30d supply growth sits in the 5th percentile, and the 90d return ranks in the 94th percentile of its cohort. With 134 owners holding 1419 units and the price 7.9% above fair value, concentration and entry timing both warrant patience.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 20h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

100/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (7d)+58.9%
95
95
Return (14d)+23.1%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-14.1%
56
56
Return (60d)-5.6%β€”β€”
Return (90d)+0.2%
91
93
Return (all)+0.2%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+46.3%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+20.8%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-15.2%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-5.8%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)+0.2%β€”β€”
Log return (all)+0.2%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$4.21β€”β€”
High (7d)$4.40β€”β€”
High (14d)$4.40β€”β€”
High (30d)$5.00β€”β€”
High (60d)$8.58β€”β€”
High (90d)$8.58β€”β€”
High (all)$8.58β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$4.21β€”β€”
Low (7d)$2.65β€”β€”
Low (14d)$2.65β€”β€”
Low (30d)$2.65β€”β€”
Low (60d)$2.65β€”β€”
Low (90d)$2.65β€”β€”
Low (all)$2.65β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$4.21β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$3.87β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$3.48β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$4.16β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$4.91β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$4.61β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$4.61β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$4.21β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$4.21β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$3.40β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$4.21β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$4.89β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$4.56β€”β€”
Median price (all)$4.56β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+66.0%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+66.0%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+88.7%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+223.8%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+223.8%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+223.8%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)89β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)66β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)26β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)26
78
81
Position in range (all)26β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-4.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-4.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-15.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-50.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-50.9%
65
66
Distance from high (all)-50.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+58.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+58.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+58.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+58.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+58.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+58.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)+8.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+21.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+1.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-14.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-8.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-8.7%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)1β€”β€”
Up days (14d)4β€”β€”
Up days (30d)5β€”β€”
Up days (60d)7β€”β€”
Up days (90d)13β€”β€”
Up days (all)13β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)1β€”β€”
Down days (14d)3β€”β€”
Down days (30d)12β€”β€”
Down days (60d)32β€”β€”
Down days (90d)51β€”β€”
Down days (all)51β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)57β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)29β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)18β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)20β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)20β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+3.9%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-2.0%
29
26
Trend slope (60d)-0.9%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+0.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+0.1%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.44Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.50Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.26Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.01Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip2.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+30.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+22.2%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+14.5%
59
58
Return stdev (60d)+15.1%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+18.3%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+18.3%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+8.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+6.3%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+8.1%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+47.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+69.1%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+69.1%
54
55
Max drawdown (all)+69.1%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+50.9%
35
34
Current drawdown (all)+50.9%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)49dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)49dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.05Γ—
62
60
Sortino ratio (90d)0.24Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)2.86β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)3.42β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)11.63β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)13.81β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+66.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+66.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+66.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+114.5%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+114.5%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+4.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+22.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+22.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+22.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+42.4%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.2%
34
37
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score11
34
37
Listings on book17β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+44.8%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-0.4%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+158.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+1.5%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+0.0%
50
50
Owner growth (60d)+2.3%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)+125.0%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner10.51Γ—
42
42
Top-1 holder share+6.1%
76
74
Top-10 holder share+20.9%
79
76
HHI (top-10)68.24β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)+0.0%
75
75
Absorption (60d)+2.3%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)-33.0%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age93dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multiple2.12Γ—
91
90
Store-price ratio2.10Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+8.5%
51
52
Price per scarcity point0.08Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+36.6%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$2.43β€”β€”
Accumulation score55β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+59.8%
95
95
Momentum pillar39
13
9
Scarcity pillar53β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar8β€”β€”
Value pillar57β€”β€”
Risk pillar39β€”β€”
Overall rating46
47
46
Data completeness+77.4%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)1.81Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-0.06Γ—
35
32
Beta vs market (90d)0.40Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.21Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+36.1%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-3.2%
56
57
Return vs market (90d)+31.9%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)1
25
25
Spike days (60d)2β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)5β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)3
75
83
Dump days (60d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)8β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-4.3%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-2.9%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-14.0%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)-2β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)-2β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-3β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.