S&box Market Report: Week 44, 2026
Weekly snapshot of the S&box skin market across 260 tracked items.
Market Overview
Two turtlenecks, opposite ends of the board: Turtleneck Black at +5008.7%, Turtleneck White at -87.7%. Same garment, different books, and neither number survives contact with a second trade.
Underneath that noise it's a flat week — Pulse at 45, only 33% of items green over seven days, $40,414.25 in listings across 247 of 260 observed items with no week-over-week baseline to compare it to. QA Team T-Shirt leads momentum at 79.1, which is now four reports running.
We're tracking 260 unique S&box skins across the Steam Community Market. Current observation coverage: 247/260 for active listings and 88/260 for executed sales in the past 24 hours.
Market Pulse: Neutral (45/100) · 69 new 30-day highs vs 14 lows
Top Momentum This Week
Our composite momentum score blends 7-day and 30-day price trends, provenance-qualified current listing thinness, supply contraction, holder concentration, scarcity, and store-rotation signals. Historical listing-surge and sales-velocity inputs are deliberately omitted until comparable first-party history exists. One deliberate twist: on price action the score is *contrarian*. In our backtest of this market, sharp recent spikes have tended to fade and sharp dips to recover, so a faded spike scores low and a recovering dip scores high. Items ranking high have multiple indicators lining up, not just a one-off print. (Single-regime caveat: that read comes from one broadly-falling quarter of history.)
- QA Team T-Shirt: momentum 79.1 · Rated S (87/100) · Scarcity score 90/100
- Other Gold Earrings: momentum 77.0 · Rated C (53/100) · Down 54.0% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered; Scarcity score 73/100
- Fried Onion Earrings: momentum 75.1 · Rated B (64/100) · Down 56.2% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered; Scarcity score 70/100
- Police Hat: momentum 69.8 · Rated C (41/100) · Down 50.0% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
- Halloween Hoodie 2025: momentum 69.7 · Rated C (46/100) · Down 43.2% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
- Safety Glasses: momentum 69.2 · Rated C (53/100) · Down 46.8% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
Top Gainers
- Turtleneck Black: $0.87 → $44.19 (+5008.7%)
- Sleeveless Leather Jacket: $0.71 → $29.99 (+4123.9%)
- Scientist Shoes: $0.35 → $2.12 (+514.5%)
- Physics Gun Tshirt: $0.26 → $1.52 (+484.6%)
- Puffer Gilet Blue: $0.24 → $1.16 (+383.3%)
Top Losers
- Turtleneck White: $4.86 → $0.60 (-87.7%)
- Side Parting Tied Hair: $3.16 → $0.84 (-73.4%)
- Pink Scientist Gloves: $0.88 → $0.26 (-70.5%)
- Leopard Print Heel Boots: $1.11 → $0.42 (-62.2%)
- Fried Onion Earrings: $17.73 → $7.76 (-56.2%)
Category Breakdown
- Accessories: 59 items · avg $11.83 · current listings value $12,191.59 (59/59 observed) - accessory: 64 items · avg $67.36 · current listings value $11,685.87 (55/64 observed) - Clothing: 64 items · avg $11.58 · current listings value $7,941.88 (63/64 observed) - clothing: 57 items · avg $11.78 · current listings value $6,905.33 (54/57 observed) - outfit: 6 items · avg $23.19 · current listings value $1,295.01 (6/6 observed) - Face: 10 items · avg $1.04 · current listings value $394.57 (10/10 observed)
Most Listed Among Current Observations
Most listed on the Steam Community Market right now. Listings are active asks, not completed trades.
- Easter Bunny Hat 2026: 483 listings · $0.80
- Halloween Jeans 2025: 307 listings · $3.97
- Easter Bunny Nose 2026: 207 listings · $0.38
- Punk Helmet: 202 listings · $0.46
- Bag: 185 listings · $0.52
Busiest Past 24h Among Current Observations
Executed Steam Market sales, not listings or primary-store purchases.
- Leather Coat: 10 Steam Market sales in 24h
- Fresh Mask: 9 Steam Market sales in 24h
- Pirate Hook: 8 Steam Market sales in 24h
- Punk Helmet: 7 Steam Market sales in 24h
- Sweatband White: 6 Steam Market sales in 24h
Leaving the Store Soon
Items in the S&box store that rotate out within 3 weeks. Historically, store rotations drive a spike in secondary-market price, so these are worth watching.
- Bone Hands · leaves in 4d - Alien Hands · leaves in 4d - Voodoo Mask · leaves in 4d - Crazy Dino Head · leaves in 4d - Cardboard Jetpack · leaves in 4d
Rarest Skins by Scarcity Score
Tightest distribution and thinnest liquidity right now.
- The Apron Accident: scarcity 100/100 · $0.00
- QA Team T-Shirt: scarcity 90/100 · $0.00
- Neck Tattoo: scarcity 84/100 · $806.96
- Hard Hat: scarcity 84/100 · $1,649.22
- Face Tattoos: scarcity 82/100 · $555.84
What This Means
I don't actually have the Week 44 figures in this thread — the earlier message only gave me the prior reports (Weeks 40–43) and the brief. Writing the closer without them would mean inventing numbers, which is the one thing I won't do here.
Send me:
- Top gainer + % (and whether it repeats from Week 43's board) - Top loser + % - Total listings figure and how many of the 250 cleared the observation bar - Pulse reading - Slugs for anything you want linked - Any Facepunch store/rot
For live data, check Trends and set price alerts on items you're watching. Get this report in your inbox every Friday: subscribe to the newsletter (we also do a Monday forward-looking outlook).
Auto-generated every Friday from Steam Community Market observations and our own supply snapshots. Current count coverage is shown explicitly; mixed-provider historical count comparisons are omitted.