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October 2, 2026·weekly report

S&box Market Report: Week 40, 2026

Weekly snapshot of the S&box skin market across 248 tracked items.

Market Overview

Police Vest is back on the leaderboard at +333.3%, two weeks after its last appearance — same item, same thin-book mechanics, so read it accordingly. Zipper Jacket Blue went the other way at -82.3%.

Tracked count jumped to 248, and only 222 of those cleared the observation bar, so the $26,874.14 listings figure isn't comparable to last week's — we don't have a clean week-over-week number and won't fake one. Pulse sits at 31, Fearful, with 30% green. And QA Team T-Shirt leads momentum again, at 79.1.

We're tracking 248 unique S&box skins across the Steam Community Market. Current observation coverage: 222/248 for active listings and 0/248 for executed sales in the past 24 hours.

Market Pulse: Fearful (31/100) · 23 new 30-day highs vs 71 lows

Top Momentum This Week

Our composite momentum score blends 7-day and 30-day price trends, provenance-qualified current listing thinness, supply contraction, holder concentration, scarcity, and store-rotation signals. Historical listing-surge and sales-velocity inputs are deliberately omitted until comparable first-party history exists. One deliberate twist: on price action the score is *contrarian*. In our backtest of this market, sharp recent spikes have tended to fade and sharp dips to recover, so a faded spike scores low and a recovering dip scores high. Items ranking high have multiple indicators lining up, not just a one-off print. (Single-regime caveat: that read comes from one broadly-falling quarter of history.)

  1. QA Team T-Shirt: momentum 79.1 · Rated S (87/100) · Scarcity score 90/100
  2. Snapback Orange: momentum 75.3 · Rated B (61/100) · Down 51.7% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
  3. Sunglasses Purple: momentum 72.8 · Rated A (79/100) · Down 50.8% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered; Scarcity score 80/100
  4. Turtleneck Red: momentum 72.0 · Rated B (67/100) · Down 41.4% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
  5. Pearl Earrings (Gold): momentum 71.3 · Rated C (51/100)
  6. Turtleneck Green: momentum 71.2 · Rated B (66/100) · Down 40.7% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered; Scarcity score 71/100

Top Gainers

  1. Police Vest: $0.30 → $1.30 (+333.3%)
  2. Hockey Helmet: $6.47 → $22.14 (+242.2%)
  3. Pink Top: $8.16 → $20.33 (+149.1%)
  4. Tie (Green): $1.61 → $3.47 (+115.5%)
  5. Fleece Jacket Brown: $0.18 → $0.35 (+94.4%)

Top Losers

  1. Zipper Jacket Blue: $2.82 → $0.50 (-82.3%)
  2. Zipper Jacket Grey: $1.09 → $0.42 (-61.5%)
  3. Zipper Jacket Camo: $0.52 → $0.24 (-53.8%)
  4. Zipper Jacket Red: $2.93 → $1.38 (-52.9%)
  5. Snapback Orange: $0.29 → $0.14 (-51.7%)

Category Breakdown

- Accessories: 59 items · avg $9.37 · current listings value $11,035.15 (58/59 observed) - accessory: 55 items · avg $67.85 · current listings value $6,635.83 (41/55 observed) - Clothing: 64 items · avg $4.28 · current listings value $4,791.64 (63/64 observed) - clothing: 55 items · avg $5.47 · current listings value $3,829.31 (46/55 observed) - outfit: 5 items · avg $12.44 · current listings value $417.93 (4/5 observed) - Face: 10 items · avg $0.46 · current listings value $164.28 (10/10 observed)

Most Listed Among Current Observations

Most listed on the Steam Community Market right now. Listings are active asks, not completed trades.

  1. Easter Bunny Hat 2026: 708 listings · $0.62
  2. Easter Bunny Nose 2026: 460 listings · $0.28
  3. Punk Helmet: 420 listings · $0.26
  4. The Loving Look: 351 listings · $0.55
  5. Sports Bandage: 348 listings · $0.47

Busiest Past 24h Among Current Observations

Executed Steam Market sales, not listings or primary-store purchases.

Sales-velocity data still populating.

Leaving the Store Soon

Items in the S&box store that rotate out within 3 weeks. Historically, store rotations drive a spike in secondary-market price, so these are worth watching.

- Tropical Glasses · leaves in 4d - Katana · leaves in 4d - Travel Pillow · leaves in 4d - SkinnyJeans · leaves in 4d

Rarest Skins by Scarcity Score

Tightest distribution and thinnest liquidity right now.

  1. The Apron Accident: scarcity 100/100 · $0.00
  2. QA Team T-Shirt: scarcity 90/100 · $0.00
  3. Hard Hat: scarcity 84/100 · $1,649.22
  4. Neck Tattoo: scarcity 83/100 · $557.03
  5. Face Tattoos: scarcity 81/100 · $348.16

What This Means

Week 40 of 2026 kept the economy humming. Watch the top momentum list below; those are the items with multiple signals lining up, not just a single spiky print.

For live data, check Trends and set price alerts on items you're watching. Get this report in your inbox every Friday: subscribe to the newsletter (we also do a Monday forward-looking outlook).


Auto-generated every Friday from Steam Community Market observations and our own supply snapshots. Current count coverage is shown explicitly; mixed-provider historical count comparisons are omitted.

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