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September 25, 2026·weekly report

S&box Market Report: Week 39, 2026

Weekly snapshot of the S&box skin market across 230 tracked items.

Market Overview

Protective Bucket put up +409.0%, which is the kind of number that usually means a thin book got cleared rather than anything structural. On the other side, Zipper Jacket Camo shed 86.9%. Pulse sits at 28 — Fearful — with a third of the board green.

Face Tattoos leads momentum at 80.4, its second consecutive week near the top after last week's +90.3%. Tracked count is up to 230; the $28,361.76 covers 219 of them, with no comparable prior week to measure it against.

We're tracking 230 unique S&box skins across the Steam Community Market. Current observation coverage: 219/230 for active listings and 0/230 for executed sales in the past 24 hours.

Market Pulse: Fearful (28/100) · 11 new 30-day highs vs 65 lows

Top Momentum This Week

Our composite momentum score blends 7-day and 30-day price trends, provenance-qualified current listing thinness, supply contraction, holder concentration, scarcity, and store-rotation signals. Historical listing-surge and sales-velocity inputs are deliberately omitted until comparable first-party history exists. One deliberate twist: on price action the score is *contrarian*. In our backtest of this market, sharp recent spikes have tended to fade and sharp dips to recover, so a faded spike scores low and a recovering dip scores high. Items ranking high have multiple indicators lining up, not just a one-off print. (Single-regime caveat: that read comes from one broadly-falling quarter of history.)

  1. Face Tattoos: momentum 80.4 · Rated A (80/100) · Down 55.4% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered; Scarcity score 81/100
  2. Neck Tattoo: momentum 80.2 · Rated A (77/100) · Down 43.3% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered; Scarcity score 83/100
  3. QA Team T-Shirt: momentum 79.1 · Rated S (87/100) · Scarcity score 90/100
  4. Police Vest: momentum 75.9 · Rated C (43/100) · Down 60.5% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
  5. Spa Slippers: momentum 75.7 · Rated C (53/100) · Down 58.4% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
  6. Police Hat: momentum 74.4 · Rated D (36/100) · Down 48.6% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered

Top Gainers

  1. Protective Bucket: $6.68 → $34.00 (+409.0%)
  2. Dino Cap: $3.56 → $7.38 (+107.3%)
  3. Bandana Hair: $0.21 → $0.40 (+90.5%)
  4. Tennis Visor: $2.19 → $3.93 (+79.5%)
  5. Biking Helmet Red: $0.24 → $0.42 (+78.7%)

Top Losers

  1. Zipper Jacket Camo: $3.96 → $0.52 (-86.9%)
  2. Zipper Jacket Red: $21.82 → $2.93 (-86.6%)
  3. Zipper Jacket Blue: $10.35 → $2.82 (-72.8%)
  4. Police Vest: $0.76 → $0.30 (-60.5%)
  5. Spa Slippers: $17.73 → $7.38 (-58.4%)

Category Breakdown

- Accessories: 59 items · avg $10.94 · current listings value $11,767.54 (58/59 observed) - accessory: 43 items · avg $71.37 · current listings value $7,307.53 (39/43 observed) - Clothing: 64 items · avg $5.08 · current listings value $4,883.88 (63/64 observed) - clothing: 50 items · avg $5.41 · current listings value $3,850.17 (46/50 observed) - outfit: 4 items · avg $9.25 · current listings value $379.04 (3/4 observed) - Face: 10 items · avg $0.46 · current listings value $173.60 (10/10 observed)

Most Listed Among Current Observations

Most listed on the Steam Community Market right now. Listings are active asks, not completed trades.

  1. Easter Bunny Hat 2026: 591 listings · $0.47
  2. Punk Helmet: 476 listings · $0.37
  3. Easter Bunny Nose 2026: 439 listings · $0.37
  4. Sports Bandage: 369 listings · $0.46
  5. The Loving Look: 353 listings · $0.48

Busiest Past 24h Among Current Observations

Executed Steam Market sales, not listings or primary-store purchases.

Sales-velocity data still populating.

Leaving the Store Soon

Items in the S&box store that rotate out within 3 weeks. Historically, store rotations drive a spike in secondary-market price, so these are worth watching.

- Pearl Earrings (Gold) · leaves in 4d - Bear Hat · leaves in 4d - Mr. Banana Suit · leaves in 4d

Rarest Skins by Scarcity Score

Tightest distribution and thinnest liquidity right now.

  1. The Apron Accident: scarcity 100/100 · $0.00
  2. QA Team T-Shirt: scarcity 90/100 · $0.00
  3. Hard Hat: scarcity 84/100 · $1,649.22
  4. Neck Tattoo: scarcity 83/100 · $567.00
  5. Face Tattoos: scarcity 81/100 · $398.28

What This Means

Week 39 of 2026 kept the economy humming. Watch the top momentum list below; those are the items with multiple signals lining up, not just a single spiky print.

For live data, check Trends and set price alerts on items you're watching. Get this report in your inbox every Friday: subscribe to the newsletter (we also do a Monday forward-looking outlook).


Auto-generated every Friday from Steam Community Market observations and our own supply snapshots. Current count coverage is shown explicitly; mixed-provider historical count comparisons are omitted.

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