S&box Market Report: Week 38, 2026
Weekly snapshot of the S&box skin market across 226 tracked items.
Market Overview
Face Tattoos nearly doubled at +90.3% while Dino Watch gave up 61.6% — a 150-point spread on a board where only 16% of items moved up at all. Pulse reads 14, Fearful, essentially where we sat three weeks back. Qualified listings value came in at $30,548.11 across 214 of 226 items, with no week-over-week comparison to hang it on. And QA Team T-Shirt tops momentum again at 79.1 — fourth report running, which is starting to say more about the board than the shirt.
We're tracking 226 unique S&box skins across the Steam Community Market. Current observation coverage: 214/226 for active listings and 0/226 for executed sales in the past 24 hours.
Market Pulse: Fearful (14/100) · 9 new 30-day highs vs 82 lows
Top Momentum This Week
Our composite momentum score blends 7-day and 30-day price trends, provenance-qualified current listing thinness, supply contraction, holder concentration, scarcity, and store-rotation signals. Historical listing-surge and sales-velocity inputs are deliberately omitted until comparable first-party history exists. One deliberate twist: on price action the score is *contrarian*. In our backtest of this market, sharp recent spikes have tended to fade and sharp dips to recover, so a faded spike scores low and a recovering dip scores high. Items ranking high have multiple indicators lining up, not just a one-off print. (Single-regime caveat: that read comes from one broadly-falling quarter of history.)
- QA Team T-Shirt: momentum 79.1 · Rated S (87/100) · Scarcity score 90/100
- Referee Shirt: momentum 78.8 · Rated A (70/100) · Down 39.6% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
- Valentines Bear Trousers 2025: momentum 78.8 · Rated C (45/100) · Down 38.9% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
- Miner Helmet: momentum 78.6 · Rated B (63/100) · Down 37.5% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
- Tennis Visor: momentum 78.6 · Rated B (66/100) · Down 33.4% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
- Easter Slippers 2025: momentum 78.5 · Rated C (46/100) · Down 45.4% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
Top Gainers
- Face Tattoos: $469.20 → $892.93 (+90.3%)
- Puffer Gilet Orange: $0.32 → $0.53 (+65.6%)
- Puffer Gilet Red: $0.18 → $0.26 (+44.4%)
- Fishing Vest: $0.35 → $0.50 (+42.9%)
- Varsity Jacket: $2.00 → $2.67 (+33.5%)
Top Losers
- Dino Watch: $8.89 → $3.41 (-61.6%)
- Spiky Hair Frosted Tips: $1.06 → $0.42 (-60.4%)
- Valentines Bear Top 2025: $18.33 → $8.00 (-56.4%)
- Suit Jacket Red: $2.96 → $1.33 (-55.0%)
- Tie (Black): $5.80 → $2.73 (-52.9%)
Category Breakdown
- Accessories: 59 items · avg $11.20 · current listings value $11,788.85 (58/59 observed) - accessory: 42 items · avg $98.80 · current listings value $9,811.53 (37/42 observed) - Clothing: 64 items · avg $5.09 · current listings value $5,202.18 (63/64 observed) - clothing: 47 items · avg $4.87 · current listings value $3,262.39 (39/47 observed) - outfit: 4 items · avg $9.37 · current listings value $300.10 (3/4 observed) - Face: 10 items · avg $0.44 · current listings value $183.06 (10/10 observed)
Most Listed Among Current Observations
Most listed on the Steam Community Market right now. Listings are active asks, not completed trades.
- Easter Bunny Hat 2026: 598 listings · $0.52
- Punk Helmet: 458 listings · $0.39
- Easter Bunny Nose 2026: 413 listings · $0.38
- Sports Bandage: 382 listings · $0.46
- The Loving Look: 361 listings · $0.59
Busiest Past 24h Among Current Observations
Executed Steam Market sales, not listings or primary-store purchases.
Sales-velocity data still populating.
Leaving the Store Soon
Items in the S&box store that rotate out within 3 weeks. Historically, store rotations drive a spike in secondary-market price, so these are worth watching.
- Pink Skirt · leaves in 4d - Jester Hat · leaves in 4d - Con Badge · leaves in 4d - Leopard Paw Gloves · leaves in 4d
Rarest Skins by Scarcity Score
Tightest distribution and thinnest liquidity right now.
- The Apron Accident: scarcity 100/100 · $0.00
- QA Team T-Shirt: scarcity 90/100 · $0.00
- Hard Hat: scarcity 84/100 · $1,649.22
- Neck Tattoo: scarcity 83/100 · $1,000.00
- Face Tattoos: scarcity 82/100 · $892.93
What This Means
Quick flag: the Week 38 numbers never made it into this thread — no Pulse reading, no green-share, no total listings value, no gainer list. I won't fabricate them. Here's the closing built to your spec with the figures slotted, so drop them in and it's ready:
Two reads, and they don't agree: Pulse at [X] says one thing, [Y]% green over seven days says another, and we've had that split three weeks running now — at some point the breadth number is
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Auto-generated every Friday from Steam Community Market observations and our own supply snapshots. Current count coverage is shown explicitly; mixed-provider historical count comparisons are omitted.