S&box Market Report: Week 30, 2026

Market Overview

A +3,136.9% print next to a name most of you have never traded — Academic Cap is this week's headline, and headlines like that usually mean thin listings more than real demand. Meanwhile Biking Helmet Red gave back -87.3%. The board sits at $50,739 across 168 observed items, but with the pulse still Fearful (30/100) and only a third of items green, the breadth doesn't back the top-line number.

We're tracking 181 unique S&box skins across the Steam Community Market. Current observation coverage: 168/181 for active listings and 0/181 for executed sales in the past 24 hours.

Market Pulse: Fearful (30/100) · 16 new 30-day highs vs 53 lows

Top Momentum This Week

Our composite momentum score blends 7-day and 30-day price trends, provenance-qualified current listing thinness, supply contraction, holder concentration, scarcity, and store-rotation signals. Historical listing-surge and sales-velocity inputs are deliberately omitted until comparable first-party history exists. One deliberate twist: on price action the score is *contrarian*. In our backtest of this market, sharp recent spikes have tended to fade and sharp dips to recover, so a faded spike scores low and a recovering dip scores high. Items ranking high have multiple indicators lining up, not just a one-off print. (Single-regime caveat: that read comes from one broadly-falling quarter of history.)

1. QA Team T-Shirt: momentum 79.1 · Rated S (87/100) · Scarcity score 90/100
2. Suit Jacket White: momentum 74.2 · Rated C (54/100) · Down 52.5% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
3. Face Tattoos: momentum 72.0 · Rated A (78/100) · Down 23.8% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered; Scarcity score 80/100
4. Black Teashade Sunglasses: momentum 70.9 · Rated D (27/100) · Market supply contracted 53.7% this week
5. Sneakers Gravity: momentum 70.2 · Rated B (62/100) · Down 28.6% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
6. Neck Tattoo: momentum 70.1 · Rated A (73/100) · Down 21.5% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered; Scarcity score 81/100

Top Gainers

1. Academic Cap: $3.93 → $127.21 (+3136.9%)
2. Work Suit: $9.43 → $43.97 (+366.3%)
3. Construction Ear Muffs: $2.83 → $11.38 (+302.8%)
4. Valentines Bear Trousers 2025: $12.73 → $37.79 (+196.9%)
5. Sausage Survivors 2 Tshirt: $0.21 → $0.53 (+152.4%)

Top Losers

1. Biking Helmet Red: $3.77 → $0.48 (-87.3%)
2. Puffer Gilet Brown: $4.89 → $1.05 (-78.5%)
3. Puffer Gilet Orange: $2.96 → $0.73 (-75.3%)
4. Dino Cap: $49.92 → $12.57 (-74.8%)
5. Puffer Gilet Black: $1.96 → $0.62 (-68.4%)

Category Breakdown

- Accessories: 59 items · avg $15.50 · current listings value $22,260.58 (58/59 observed) - accessory: 21 items · avg $186.96 · current listings value $12,596.24 (17/21 observed) - Clothing: 64 items · avg $7.91 · current listings value $9,148.92 (62/64 observed) - clothing: 26 items · avg $12.33 · current listings value $6,275.67 (20/26 observed) - Face: 10 items · avg $0.87 · current listings value $320.90 (10/10 observed) - outfit: 1 items · avg $1.31 · current listings value $137.55 (1/1 observed)

Most Listed Among Current Observations

Most listed on the Steam Community Market right now. Listings are active asks, not completed trades.

1. Easter Bunny Hat 2026: 553 listings · $1.40
2. Easter Bunny Nose 2026: 453 listings · $0.59
3. Sports Bandage: 432 listings · $0.49
4. Punk Helmet: 419 listings · $0.94
5. The Loving Look: 372 listings · $0.61

Busiest Past 24h Among Current Observations

Executed Steam Market sales, not listings or primary-store purchases.

Sales-velocity data still populating.

Leaving the Store Soon

Items in the S&box store that rotate out within 3 weeks. Historically, store rotations drive a spike in secondary-market price, so these are worth watching.

- Miner Helmet · leaves in 3d - Punk Shorts · leaves in 3d - Swimming Trunks · leaves in 3d - Dino Watch · leaves in 3d

Rarest Skins by Scarcity Score

Tightest distribution and thinnest liquidity right now.

1. The Apron Accident: scarcity 100/100 · $0.00
2. QA Team T-Shirt: scarcity 90/100 · $0.00
3. Hard Hat: scarcity 84/100 · $1,649.22
4. Neck Tattoo: scarcity 81/100 · $886.93
5. Face Tattoos: scarcity 80/100 · $706.52

What This Means

I don't actually have the Week 30 facts in front of me — the message references "the same Week 30 facts," but no figures, item names, slugs, or sentiment reading were passed along in this thread (the only data I've been handed is from the four prior reports, which I'm told *not* to echo).

Since the rules are hard: no invented items, no invented stats, I can't responsibly draft the "What This Means" close without the underlying numbers. Send me the Week 30 payload — board value + % change, item count, top gainers/losers with slugs, sent

For live data, check Trends and set price alerts on items you're watching. Get this report in your inbox every Friday: subscribe to the newsletter (we also do a Monday forward-looking outlook).

Auto-generated every Friday from Steam Community Market observations and our own supply snapshots. Current count coverage is shown explicitly; mixed-provider historical count comparisons are omitted.