S&box Market Report: Week 28, 2026

Market Overview

A +45.1% board that reads Fearful (21/100) is the kind of contradiction worth staring at — value ripped to $45,154 across 164 items while only 31% of them actually climbed over seven days. So the gains are concentrated, not broad. Bandana Mask topped the leaderboard at +118.0%, back in the spotlight after its Week 24 cameo, while Police Vest got taken behind the shed for -86.4%.

We're tracking 164 unique S&box skins across the Steam Community Market.

Market Pulse: Fearful (21/100) · 2 new 30-day highs vs 85 lows

Top Momentum This Week

Our composite momentum score blends 7-day and 30-day price trends, sales velocity (actual fills, the conviction signal), sell-listings pressure (a surge in listings is supply hitting the market, scored bearish), supply contraction, holder concentration, and store-rotation signals. One deliberate twist: on price action the score is *contrarian*. In our backtest of this market, sharp recent spikes have tended to fade and sharp dips to recover, so a faded spike scores low and a recovering dip scores high. Items ranking high have multiple indicators lining up, not just a one-off print. (Single-regime caveat: that read comes from one broadly-falling quarter of history.)

1. QA Team T-Shirt: momentum 79.1 · Rated S (87/100) · Scarcity score 90/100
2. Hard Hat: momentum 73.8 · Rated S (90/100) · Scarcity score 99/100
3. Lifejacket: momentum 73.0 · Rated C (51/100) · Down 37.9% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
4. Lucky Bastard Helmet: momentum 72.4 · Rated C (52/100) · Down 42.3% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
5. Pirate: momentum 72.4 · Rated D (33/100) · Down 33.3% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered
6. Racer Helmet: momentum 71.7 · Rated C (48/100) · Down 36.1% over 7 days — in this market sharp dips have historically recovered

Top Gainers

1. Bandana Mask: $0.50 → $1.09 (+118.0%)
2. Easter Dungarees 2025: $9.20 → $18.40 (+100.0%)
3. Blue Pleated Skirt: $5.00 → $8.59 (+71.8%)
4. Valentines Bear Top 2025: $9.71 → $15.71 (+61.8%)
5. Sunglasses Gold: $7.63 → $11.61 (+52.2%)

Top Losers

1. Police Vest: $6.38 → $0.87 (-86.4%)
2. Fleece Jacket White: $0.87 → $0.23 (-73.6%)
3. Fleece Jacket Camo: $1.15 → $0.43 (-62.6%)
4. Fleece Jacket Blue: $0.59 → $0.24 (-59.3%)
5. Fleece Jacket Purple: $1.24 → $0.52 (-58.1%)

Category Breakdown

- Accessories: 58 items · avg $15.34 · listings value $19,473.02 - accessory: 15 items · avg $200.56 · listings value $11,125.83 - Clothing: 62 items · avg $9.14 · listings value $8,396.05 - clothing: 21 items · avg $8.83 · listings value $5,731.86 - Face: 8 items · avg $0.98 · listings value $427.30

Volume Leaders

Most listed on the Steam Community Market right now. Deep order books → easier to buy/sell at market.

1. Easter Bunny Nose 2026: 737 listings · $0.61
2. Easter Bunny Hat 2026: 660 listings · $1.42
3. Sports Bandage: 457 listings · $0.60
4. Love Heart Boxers: 449 listings · $0.20
5. Punk Helmet: 416 listings · $0.65

Busiest Past 24h

Actual sales, not listings. The skins people are actively trading.

1. Easter Bunny Nose 2026: 11 sold past 24h
2. Valentines Bear Trousers 2025: 11 sold past 24h
3. Gumball Machine: 6 sold past 24h
4. Crash Test Dummy: 5 sold past 24h
5. Curly Moustache: 3 sold past 24h

Leaving the Store Soon

Items in the S&box store that rotate out within 3 weeks. Historically, store rotations drive a spike in secondary-market price, so these are worth watching.

- Dino Cap · leaves in 3d - Fisherman Raincoat · leaves in 3d - Spoiled White Tank Top · leaves in 3d - Construction Ear Muffs · leaves in 3d

Rarest Skins by Scarcity Score

Tightest distribution and thinnest liquidity right now.

1. The Apron Accident: scarcity 100/100 · $0.00
2. Hard Hat: scarcity 99/100 · $1,649.22
3. QA Team T-Shirt: scarcity 90/100 · $0.00
4. Scientist Hazmat Yellow: scarcity 86/100 · $314.14
5. Neck Tattoo: scarcity 81/100 · $669.66

What This Means

I don't actually have the Week 28 facts in front of me — the prior conversation you're referencing (the opening paragraph and the underlying numbers: listings value change, item count, top gainers/losers, any store rotation news) didn't come through on my end. The four reports I was handed are Weeks 24–27, and my rules are strict about never inventing items or stats.

Give me the Week 28 data drop — total listings value and % move, tracked item count, the notable gainers/losers with slugs, and anything on float/scarcity or a Facepunch store rotation — and I'll write the closing paragraph, complete with a specific next-week signal to watch, no fabrication.

For live data, check Trends and set price alerts on items you're watching. Get this report in your inbox every Friday: subscribe to the newsletter (we also do a Monday forward-looking outlook).

Auto-generated from our market data every Friday. Signals pulled from the Steam Community Market, sbox.dev, and our own daily supply snapshots.